In Delhi, BJP defeated AAP – once considered invincible by many. AAP, which bagged 62 out of 70 seats during the 2020 Assembly Elections, was reduced to one third of its previous performance.Odisha and J&K were no different. In Odisha, the BJP formed the government for the first time, after winning 78 of 147 assembly seats (53.06%). It also bagged 20 of 21 seats in Lok Sabha, whose election took place simultaneously with the Assembly.In J&K, where BJP faced a relatively weaker Lok Sabha showing (2 of 5 seats, 24.36% votes), it improved its vote share to 25.64% and won 29 assembly seats. The lone outlier was Jharkhand, where the BJP’s vote share dropped from 47.17% in the Lok Sabha polls to 33.18% in the assembly elections, leading to a modest performance of just 24 seats out of 81 (29.63%).Overall pattern suggests that barring Jharkhand, the BJP has possibly reversed its Lok Sabha losses in state polls. More crucially, the party’s long-standing strength in maximising seat conversion with relatively lower vote shares continues to give it an edge under the First Past the Post model—ensuring it stays electorally competitive even in adverse conditions.
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